Still scope for USD/CNH to drop to 6.3180 – UOB

USD/CNH could still give away some ground and retest the 6.3180 level in the next weeks, noted UOB Group’s FX Strategists.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “We expected USD to ‘trade between 6.3240 and 6.3430’ yesterday. USD subsequently traded within a narrower range than expected (6.3288/6.3385). Despite the quiet price actions, the underlying tone has softened and USD is likely to edge lower. That said, the major support at 6.3180 is unlikely to come under threat (there is another support at 6.3240). Resistance is at 6.3350 followed by 6.3400.”

Next 1-3 weeks: “There is not much to add to our update from yesterday (25 Jan, spot at 6.3300). As highlighted, downward momentum has not improved by much but USD could weaken further to 6.3180. However, a breach of 6.3500 (no change in ‘strong resistance’ level from yesterday) would indicate that the weak phase in USD that started more than a week ago has come to an end.”