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15 Dec 2016
Banco de Mexico is expected to hike rates 25 bp to 5.5% - BBH
Research Team at BBH suggests that post FOMC, Banco de Mexico is expected to hike rates 25 bp to 5.5% but the market is split.
Key Quotes
“Of the 25 analysts polled by Bloomberg, 17 see a 25 bp hike, 7 see a 50 bp hike, and 1 sees no hike. We see a decent chance of a 50 bp move. November CPI rose 3.32% y/y, the highest since December 2014 and above the 3% target for the second straight month. PPI ex-oil rose 7.87% y/y while headline PPI rose even more (8.4% y/y). It seems that the inflation pass-through is really starting to bite and will require Banxico tightening next year as well.”