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What’s in store for EUR/USD today? – OCBC Bank and Commerzbank

FXStreet (Edinburgh) - EUR/USD keeps the trade above the 1.0700 handle so far, while market participants are turning their focus on the Eurogroup meeting on Friday.

“With hopes of a deal being cemented this Friday at the EZ finance ministers meeting now centering around nil, we continue to stay neutral on the pair in the interim and expect markets to fade any upticks towards 1.0870 while a perforation of 1.0700 potentially opens the way to 1.0640”, noted Emmanuel Ng, FX Strategist at OCBC Bank.

Karen Jones, Head of FICC Technical Analysis at Commerzbank, argued the pair “remains below its 5 month downtrend, this is located at 1.0803 currently. While capped here, an immediate downside bias will remain in place and the risk remains for a retest of the 1.0520/1.0457 recent lows. Loss of 1.0650 should be enough to refocus on the downside”.

Market pricing in total further easing of 40bp by the RBA – Westpac

RBA is expected to cut rates by 25bp in May, and markets are pricing in a 55% chance for the same along with a total 40bp worth of rate cuts by the Australian central bank, notes Westpac.
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GBP/USD overall outlook remains bearish – FXStreet

FXStreet Editor and Analyst, Omkar Godbole, sees GBP/USD exhibiting a bearish tone while it remains below 1.5000 on a daily closing basis, and further expecting GBP bulls to opt out of the race as the BoE minutes would likely reflect a wait-and-see approach by members.
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